Trump triumphs, but the victory of crypto has just begun?
By Zeke Faux
Compiled by: BitpushNews Yanan
On November 5, dozens of Bitcoin enthusiasts, people wearing MAGA hats, and local residents gathered at PubKey, a Bitcoin-themed bar in Greenwich Village, New York, to follow the latest developments of the election. The digital screen on the wall of the bar displayed the price of Bitcoin in real time. When the news came that was favorable to Donald Trump, the price of Bitcoin broke through the $73,000 mark in one fell swoop.
与此同时，俄亥俄州的共和党人伯尼莫雷诺 (Bernie Moreno) 正试图挑战参议员谢罗德布朗 (Sherrod Brown) 的席位，他提议就恐怖分子利用加密货币的问题召开听证会。值得注意的是，莫雷诺的竞选活动得到了加密货币公司高达 4000 万美元的资金支持。
Around 10:30 that evening, an organizer of a Bitcoin meetup group excitedly announced that according to data from the crypto gambling website Polymarket, Trump's odds of winning had climbed to 88%. "Look, Bitcoin is soaring!" he shouted excitedly, "You have to buy it before it breaks through the 1 million mark!"
Just last year, this would have seemed unthinkable.TokenPrices are still stuck in a slump that has caused heavy losses to investors. SBF, once a leader in the Bitcoin world, has also been tried for fraud and is currently in prison. As for Trump's attitude towards Bitcoin, all people know is his assertion in Fox Business magazine in 2021 that Bitcoin is nothing more than a "scam."
By September 2023, the reputation of the Bitcoin industry had hit rock bottom, but it was at this cusp that Coinbase's founder, billionaire Brian Armstrong, quietly laid out his intention to gain a place for cryptocurrency in Washington. Looking back three months ago, Armstrong's company was sued by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which insisted that most of the transactions conducted here over the years were illegal. This lawsuit, as well as similar accusations against other industry giants, seemed to herald the end of cryptocurrency in the United States.
Armstrong expressed his views at a crypto discussion conference in New York. He is optimistic that the crypto industry can prompt the government to formulate more favorable regulatory rules. He emphasized that the key lies in the power of money. If the crypto industry wants to have a real voice on the political stage, it must significantly increase political donations to compete with Wall Street or the oil and gas industry, and invest at least $50 million a year. "We have to face the reality," Armstrong said bluntly, "In this world, money really makes a lot of things possible."
He solemnly announced that Coinbase would lend a hand to the political action committee called Fairshake, and warmly invited colleagues in the industry to join in the effort. At this time, Ryan Selkis, the former head of the crypto research company Messari, also took the stage and bluntly stated the current situation: "We are being pressed by Ohio pipe welders for funds." "The battle has begun, and we have no way back, because this is about our survival."
His call was not in vain. Fast forward to the 2024 election cycle, and Armstrong has not only hit his fundraising goal, but exceeded everyone’s expectations. Cryptocurrency companies have generously donated more than $200 million to Fairshake and its partners, with Coinbase leading the way with a donation of $75 million, making the crypto industry the leader in political donations. Fairshake then carefully allocated these funds to congressional candidates from both parties, and proudly claimed to have helped eliminate House members Katie Porter and Jamaal Bowman in the Democratic primary.
While Fairshake is not involved in the presidential race, other wealthy people in the crypto industry, especially Gemini founder Winklevoss and Kraken exchangeJesse Powell, the founder of Bitcoin, has generously contributed at least $25 million to support Donald Trump. Trump responded quickly and actively embraced cryptocurrency. At the Bitcoin Conference held in Nashville in July, he passionately announced that he would work to make the United States "the center of global cryptocurrency" and establish a national strategic Bitcoin reserve. He vowed to remove Gary Gensler, chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, and replace him with someone more friendly to cryptocurrency. "If Bitcoin is destined to skyrocket and fly to the moon," Trump said proudly, "then the United States must be the leader."
一个原本以反抗政府管控为初衷的行业，如今却将自身的未来寄托于政客身上，这看似颇为讽刺。然而，自比特币诞生以来的 15 年间，加密货币唯一广泛被接受的用途，竟是在交易所中进行交易——简而言之，就是用真金白银去押注这些数字资产的价格波动。（在加密货币近期的回暖中，一种名为「dogwifhat」的迷因币脱颖而出。该代币是狗狗币的模仿币，其标志是一只戴着鸭舌帽的小狗，市值高达约 20 亿美元。）这些加密货币交易平台利润惊人，而美国证券交易委员会则一直在试图对它们进行监管甚至采取惩罚措施。
The details of the SEC’s case are technically complex, but it’s easier to understand if we use traditional gambling as an analogy. The commission prefers to limit gambling to a few racetracks and impose strict drug testing on participating horses. The cryptocurrency industry, on the other hand, expects the field to be so open that people can bet their homes on live cockfights in Nicaragua or even pay for a cup of coffee at Starbucks with their winnings.
Of course, cryptocurrency supporters don’t describe it that way. They prefer to praise cryptocurrency as an “American innovation” and tout how it will give people financial freedom. The industry’s political ads don’t even mention cryptocurrency. Take the Fairshake ad supporting Moreno, which claims he will stop “illegal immigrants from depriving Ohio of tax revenue.”
As the election approaches, the industry’s cynical strategy appears to be working. Kamala Harris has begun making overtures to the industry, albeit in a somewhat confusing way, such as her inexplicable inclusion of cryptocurrency regulation in her agenda to help black people.
特朗普也亲自上阵，推销起他一手创立的加密项目——World Liberty Financial。这个念头最初是由一位自封为「互联网财富大师」的暴发户向特朗普的几个儿子灌输的。尽管加密行业对特朗普代币心存顾虑，但几位党内知情者却透露，这种利益上的微妙联结，反而可能让这位前总统更加坚定地推动有利于加密货币的监管政策——只要他能在大选中胜出。
At the PubKey bar on election night, two salesmen in their thirties wearing MAGA hats swiped their phones to browse hot topics on X, while joking with a reporter, saying that if Trump was elected, the reporter would be one of the first "lucky people" to be "sent" abroad. (When they left, they even hid their hats in their backpacks.) Another compliance officer, who was over seventy years old and wore a retro brooch that read "We Hope Kennedy Reappears," talked about the plight of the dollar with concern. He severely criticized the United States' use of the banking system to freeze Russian assets after Putin invaded Ukraine, believing that this was a big fallacy. He lamented: "If a currency can be declared invalid at will by its creator, it fundamentally loses the value and meaning that a currency should have."
Inside the bar, customers were streaming in, all intently watching the live broadcast of the election results hosted by Bitcoin Magazine. Others were busy checking the latest odds on Polymarket. The bar owner clarified to me that PubKey is not a bar exclusively for Trump supporters, but almost everyone present admitted that they voted for Trump. Interestingly, Trump himself visited this underground bar in September and generously paid for a bunch of cheeseburgers with Bitcoin, but because he was not familiar with the operation, he had to hand his phone to the bar staff to help complete the transaction.
A 33-year-old man wearing glasses said confidently that the strategic reserve of Bitcoin that Trump promised to establish will surely set off a global buying frenzy. "It's like the space race back then," he said vividly, "countries will spare no effort to hoard as much Bitcoin as possible."
At about 11:15 p.m., David Bailey, CEO of Bitcoin Magazine, excitedly announced Trump's victory on a live broadcast. At the time, he was at Trump's viewing party in West Palm Beach, Florida, wearing a red hat with the slogan "Make Bitcoin Great Again". Bailey said with anticipation: "Now we can put our grand vision for Bitcoin into practice. I am eagerly looking forward to the beginning of the Orange Presidency and the rise of the Orange Party (referring to the orange representing Bitcoin, not Trump's ochre)."
Fairshake's lobbying efforts have been effective. Its primary target, Ohio Senator Brown, lost his seat, and the Senate fell into Republican control, which means that Tim Scott, the top Republican congressman who supports cryptocurrency, is expected to lead the banking committee. Fairshake and its affiliated groups have invested $135 million, and as of Thursday, 47 of the 56 candidates they supported have been successfully elected. According to data from the nonprofit organization Public Citizen, since 2010, spending in the cryptocurrency industry has accounted for more than 15% of all known corporate spending, second only to the oil and gas industry. Fairshake also said that they have reserved $78 million for the 2026 midterm elections.
The core demands of the industry seem to be about to turn around. It is reported that the favorite candidate to replace Gensler as the chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is actually the chief legal counsel of a brokerage firm that has a positive attitude towards cryptocurrencies. At the same time, some congressional Democrats who originally opposed legislation supporting the crypto industry have also undergone subtle changes in their attitudes.
Rohan Grey, a law professor at Willamette University, said: "The huge investment in cryptocurrencies in this election is undoubtedly a stern warning to the Democrats not to pick this fight lightly. Because doing so will not benefit them."
Cryptocurrency has become a near-perfect special interest in an era of virtually unchecked corporate spending. To wring out the oil industry’s largesse, politicians may have to push through controversial pipeline projects or allow drilling in wildlife refuges despite public opposition. But few people are speaking out against cryptocurrency, because most people are still confused.
At a PubKey party on election night, I met a 33-year-old product manager who confessed that he liked Bitcoin even though he couldn’t explain how it worked.
"I think no one can explain this clearly," his friend interrupted, boasting that he had earned a generous return of nearly ten times by investing in Bitcoin.
“Maybe it will become the digital gold standard of the future,” the product manager said with anticipation.
But his friend disagreed and retorted: "That's actually gambling."
The article comes from the Internet:Trump triumphs, but the victory of crypto has just begun?
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