Countdown to Zhao Changpeng’s release from prison, is Binance going to turn the tide?

Written by: Gyro Finance

Last week, according to the Bureau of Prisons website, CZ, who has been in prison for nearly four months, will be released on September 29. The latest news shows that CZ has left the prison after 118 days in Lompoc Prison II and has been transferred to the Re-entry Management Office, RRM Long Beach, where he is still in custody.

After this news, the market was excited.BinanceThe new coin once again topped the list of gainers to welcome the upcoming return of the spiritual leader, and the X platform continued to sing praises.

After all, the current relatively sluggish market really needs a shot in the arm.

回顾一下前情，在去年 11 月，币安与美国司法部（DOJ）、商品期货交易委员会（CTFC）、外国资产控制办公室（OFAC）和金融犯罪执行网络（FinCEN）就币安历史注册、合规和制裁问题的调查达成了解决方案。

CZ eventually admitted to violating the Bank Secrecy Act, the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, and the Commodity Exchange Act by conducting unlicensed money transmission business, conspiracy charges, and prohibited transactions, and paid a sky-high fine of $4.368 billion, setting a record for the largest fine in FinCEN's history.

The initial expected sentence was 18 months, but the Ministry of Justice later wanted to increase it to 3 years. However, after 161 letters of support and discretionary consideration of his voluntary confession, CZ was finally sentenced to four months in prison in April of this year. His sentence officially began in June and he is expected to be released from prison on September 29.

A 4-month sentence is actually not that long, but since November last year, Rachael Teng has officially become the new CEO of Binance. In the nearly one-year power transfer of Binance, the dangers and opportunities of Binance have been vividly reflected.

In terms of opportunities, CZ's departure officially opened the way forexchangeThe era of compliance in the crypto space has officially ended the Wild West.Xiaobai NavigationexchangeCompliance became the general trend, and it was after this that Bitcoin ETF officially brought institutions into the crypto field. Thanks to CZ's great turn, Binance was able to get rid of its historical baggage first and gain a better opportunity to walk in the market in the name of compliance.

Rachael Teng's promotion is based on this. Professional managers with complete political and business backgrounds can better lead Binance to complete global compliance construction. The follow-up is exactly the same. Although there is no plan to return to the United States for the time being, Binance already has 19 licenses around the world. This year, it has newly obtained compliance licenses in Thailand, India and Brazil. Its achievements in compliance are obvious to all.

Initially, the market suspected that CZ’s departure would affect Binance’s operations, but judging from the data alone, Binance’s performance this year is still quite impressive.Coingecko shows that Binance's daily trading volume remains relatively stable, with 24-hour trading volume ranking first among all exchanges, and monthly visiting users reaching 530 million. According to DefiLlama data, from the end of November last year to now, Binance's net inflow of funds has exceeded US$4 billion, firmly sitting on the leading position of exchanges. Just recently, Rachael published an article stating that Binance's historical trading volume exceeded US$100 trillion in early September.

Overall, after leaving the strong support of the big boss, Binance seems to have done a pretty good job, but on the other hand, a new crisis is slowly approaching.

In terms of compliance, Nigeria dealt a heavy blow to Binance at the beginning of this year. In February, it announced that Binance was suspected of conducting illegal financial transactions on its platform. Later, it accused Binance of contributing to the collapse of its own fiat currency. There was a rumor that the authorities wanted to demand a fine of 10 billion from Binance. Although the rumor was later overturned, the Nigerian authorities still detained Binance executives Tigran Gambaryan and Nadeem Anjarwalla on the pretext. Until now, the feud between Binance and Nigeria has not ended, and Gambaryan has not been released.

On the other hand, the whirlpool of public opinion has never left Binance.

At the end of last year, due to the unsatisfactory new projects on Launchpad, Binance encountered doubts about "Bestie Coin", saying that Hooked Protocol, which has unclear product attributes, low popularity, and limited experience of team members, can IEO only because of the friendly relationship between Dovey Wan of Primitive Capital and He Yi. In April, after Space ID and Open Campus IEO, the rumor intensified, and some users on X even sarcastically said that Binance has a Bestie Coin section. At that time, He Yi responded that Binance definitely did not have a Bestie Coin section, and at the beginning of this year CZ issued three key directions for Binance's 2023 plan. The first was education, followed by compliance and product services, and then gradually calmed down public opinion.

If the girlfriend currency is just a small circle of verbal disputes, it will not be long before high FDV Token就紧随其后，掀起了整个加密市场的大辩论。先是 Tradetheflow 拉出一张表，指出币安在近半年上币的币种表现普遍不佳，甚至多上线即腰斩，共同点是这些币种均呈现出显著的高 FDV 特性，进而引发 Dragonfly 与 a16z 对于 MEME 和 VC 代币的辩论。在此背景下，币安被指频繁上币抽走市场的流动性，导致山寨萧条，同时只为 VC 代币服务，背离CommunityAs they became accomplices in cutting leeks, voices of boycott soon emerged in the market.

5 月 20 日，币安公关及时，公布了上币项目公开招募计划。根据公告显示，以高估值和低流通模式推出的代币会导致未来解锁时的巨大抛售压力，这样的市场结构对普通投资者以及项目的忠实社区成员来说，都是不利的。为培养健康的行业生态系统，币安将率先支持中小型cryptocurrencyproject.

在 6 月 16 日，何一也在社区 AMA 中对 FDV 以及闺蜜币进行了回应，称反 VC 浪潮和 memecoin 的流行反映了市场上缺乏优质资产的问题，希望能有更多真正有商业模型的项目在BlockchainWe built on this rather than just leaving it at a loose end, and acknowledged the lack of research when launching Hook.

In fact, after that, Binance was cautious about the listing of VC tokens, and the frequency of listing high FDV coins decreased rapidly, and began to move closer to the community's MEME tokens and the popular TON ecosystem. After NOTCoin fired the first shot, DOGS followed closely, and Hamster and Catizen were also launched on Binance. As of now, Binance has launched 6 TON ecosystem-related coins. However, this move has caused dissatisfaction in the community, pointing out that Binance's logic of listing coins is unclear, and the listing of coins has shifted from application value to traffic value. Listing coins for the purpose of making quick money is actually lacking the original intention of the industry. The dispute over the size of Nerio further fermented the controversy. The listing of projects with a market value of less than 20 million US dollars on Binance became the focus of criticism for a while, market manipulation was also mentioned again, and there were endless complaints about rat warehouses.

In the face of various doubts, He Yi once again maintained stability. Not only did he write a long article in response, he also elaborated on the current coin listing process and the four major coin listing standards, and humbly stated that "I am not necessarily right."

Interestingly, the core reason for all the public opinion whirlpools turned out to be Binance’s innovation. In the current market environment, Binance hopes to seek change in stability to expand its sectors and gain a larger share. However, it is precisely because of the seemingly aggressive innovation and the disappointing performance of the new coins that it has been accused of losing its original intention and lacking a vision. He Yi’s responses have also been attacked as being too active and not like a helmsman.

Ultimately, the Binance in the minds of users is still the Binance led by CZ. At that time, the rapid growth of the industry's trend paralyzed users' tolerance bottom line. Users were accustomed to the founder's silent working style, and they also hoped that Binance, as an industry weather vane leading crypto growth innovation, would continue to be a symbol of Binance's success.

But it is worth mentioning that the current market environment is not as good as before. In the past two years of development, not only has the compliance sickle been hanging high, but the entry of Wall Street institutions has added uncertainty. The crypto market is no longer based on exchanges as the core of absolute discourse power, and the winter of primary market investment institutions is coming. The lack of market liquidity is prominent, and innovative applications are rare. PvP has become popular, leaving only MEME prosperity, and even the operation and promotion of projects have appeared in the event in a new way. All of this reflects that the industry has entered a reshuffle period, and exchanges have inevitably taken off the cloak of faith and finally came to the world in a commercialized original posture.

Based on this context, the market has high expectations for CZ's return, hoping that he will return again to lead the cryptocurrency industry in a storm to find a new direction. However, it should be emphasized that as part of the plea agreement, CZ will be banned from participating in the company's daily operations for three years. Of course, his equity in Binance is still real and valid, so he can still pay attention to the company's performance as a shareholder, or replace or nominate a new board of directors or a new CEO.

However, due to CZ’s position in Binance and the existence of co-founder and partner He Yi, it is very likely that he will participate in the company’s operations in other ways. However, given that the two external supervisors appointed through the plea agreement will also pay close attention to similar situations,SafetyFor the sake of safety, it can be expected that CZ will indirectly guide the company's operations.

As early as after reaching a plea agreement, CZ had already stated that he had no intention of serving as any form of CEO and would focus on investment.Blockchain, artificial intelligence and biotechnology companies. The non-profit project Giggle Academy, which CZ had previously invested in, stalled after he was imprisoned, and the market can also look forward to the follow-up progress of this project.

Can CZ turn the tide? Judging from the current market situation, there are many difficulties. After all, this is a market problem, not a single individual problem. In other words, CZ is the one who climbed to the top from the old era, and the old narrative is no longer viable. Fortunately, new traffic is still pouring in, and younger and more creative groups are entering the cryptocurrency circle. At this time of change, how to accept and value new groups and new logic may be the problem that the legendary CZ needs to solve next.

On the other hand, no matter what, CZ’s return is still a huge boon to Binance, and it will also have a positive effect on boosting user sentiment. It is highly likely that the Binance series of currencies will see a rise, and some people in the market have begun to target the so-called concept of CZ being released from prison.

This shows that even though the market is no longer the same market, CZ is still the same CZ.

The article comes from the Internet:Countdown to Zhao Changpeng’s release from prison, is Binance going to turn the tide?

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