Airdrop trends in 2024: User disappointment and deterioration of protocol fundamentals

As a party to the agreement, we must ensure that we can retain users and build a long-term successful product.

author:Stacy Muur

Compiled by: Xiaobai Navigation coderworld

from @Delphi_Digital Key insights from the Airdrops report.

It is crucial for users and a must-read for founders.

2024 年的空投趋势:用户失望,协议基本面恶化

Even in @Uniswap Four years after the airdrop, this iconic event remains a major milestone for the Web3 market, with a peak value of $6.4 billion, still the largest airdrop in history.

Since then, the industry has grown significantly, spawning a large number ofWitchAnd the airdrop partyXiaobai Navigation.

2024 年的空投趋势:用户失望,协议基本面恶化

cryptocurrencyThe 50 largest airdrops in the space have distributed over $26.6 billion in value.

这种“免费资金”的机会没有被忽视。现在,每一个令人兴奋的加密协议启动都会吸引女巫攻击者和机器人,他们渴望获得初始空投Tokena significant share.

Therefore, the protocol must develop new airdrop standards and anti-sybil measures.

Initially, a unified reward system was used (like Uniswap). Later, tiered airdrops appeared (like Jito). The Optimism team popularized multi-standard airdrops. Now, we have a points system.

2024 年的空投趋势:用户失望,协议基本面恶化

However, for many dApps popular with airdrop hunters, the main problem with airdrops is the bubble effect: after the snapshot, usage metrics drop sharply.

2024 年的空投趋势:用户失望,协议基本面恶化

Let's see @LayerZero_Fndn example of.

Since April,@StargateFinance The cross-chain transaction volume of BTC dropped from $1.67 billion to $406.7 million — a 75% drop in transaction volume. I personally have never participated in $ZRO My allocation was naturally acquired, about $400.

This pattern is very common.

2024 年的空投趋势:用户失望,协议基本面恶化

exist $ Before the airdrop,@zksync The daily fees generated are comparable to Arbitrum.

However, since the snapshot announcement andTokenThis number has been declining since the distribution, and recently, daily fees dropped below $10,000 for the first time since the launch week of zkSync Era.

2024 年的空投趋势:用户失望,协议基本面恶化

@Delphi_Digital The study explored similar cases in detail:@KaminoFinance,@Parcl,@MantaNetwork and @jito_sol, all of which showed a similar pattern: after the snapshot, activity dropped significantly, and further user stickiness revealed real problems with product-market fit (PMF).

2024 年的空投趋势:用户失望,协议基本面恶化

The biggest problem with this unorganic growth is how to fairly evaluate the protocol and make an informed investment decision. The following points may help:

Track the daily active users (DAU) and monthly active users (MAU) metrics over time to see if there is a drop after the airdrop snapshot is announced and the subsequent user stickiness.

  • Measure how many users continue to use the platform after a predetermined period of time (e.g. 1 week or 1 month) following the airdrop.

2024 年的空投趋势:用户失望,协议基本面恶化

  • Count the ratio of new users to returning users in DAU or Weekly Active Users (WAU).

  • Monitor the number of transactions per user.

2024 年的空投趋势:用户失望,协议基本面恶化

  • Observe which features are used and how often. Continued or increased usage of core features after the airdrop indicates continued user interest or product-market fit.

  • trackwalletengagement metrics.

  • monitorCommunityDiscussion and governance of activities on the forum.

2024 年的空投趋势:用户失望,协议基本面恶化

2024 年空投的另一个问题是许多新协议广泛采用了“低流通量,高完全稀释估值 (FDV)”的代币模型。这种模型使新买家难以评估增长潜力,并难以抵消空投带来的抛压。 但这是另一个话题了。

2024 年的空投趋势:用户失望,协议基本面恶化

Personal Notes:Airdrops can attract new users, and some may stay. But it's like doing a giveaway on X: some users will come and check it out, a few may become active users, but most will disappear. As an investor, it's important to distinguish between organic and inorganic growth.

As a party to the agreement, we must ensure that we can retain users and build a long-term successful product.

PS: Thanks @Delphi_Digital of this report.

Original link: https://x.com/stacy_muur/status/1811080011103035571

The article comes from the Internet:Airdrop trends in 2024: User disappointment and deterioration of protocol fundamentals

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Recently, Photon launched the second phase of the incentive testnet, Aurora, and the official card has been made public that you can get airdrop reward tokens $PTON by doing testnet tasks. After several baptisms of free money, more and more people have begun to focus on the airdrop of projects in the BTC ecosystem. There is no other reason, just because the airdrop of the BTC ecosystem focuses on a simple and trouble-free airdrop.

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