VC Airdrop Probability Theory: Which VC-invested projects have the highest probability of launching airdrops?

author:defizard

Compiled by: Xiaobai Navigation coderworld

What do L0, zkSync, and Starknet have in common?

The same money invested in them. If these VCs invested in the project – then the project is guaranteed to have an airdrop.

a16z（ @a16zcrypto )

• Number of investments: 169.

• Projects with airdrops: 15.

  • Farcaster, EigenLayer, Worldcoin, LayerZero, zkSync, Uniswap, Sui, Aptos, Optimism, Goldfinch, Ape, dYdX, Forta, Gitcoin.

• Airdrop ratio: 8.87%.

Paradigm @paradigm )

• Number of investments: 92.

Xiaobai Navigation

• Projects with airdrops: 10.

  • Uniswap, Farcaster, Friend Tech, Optimism, dYdX, Osmosis, Blur, Ribbon Finance, Gitcoin, Starknet.

• Airdrop ratio: 10.86%.

Binance Labs @BinanceLabs )

• Number of investments: 216.

• Projects with airdrops: 19.

  • Aptos, 1inch, Biconomy, Axelar, Space ID, Maverick, Galxe, Mint Club, Aevo, Bounce Bit, Renzo Protocol, Ethena, Arkham, Polyhedra, Sui, Hooked Protocol, Magic Square, Fusionist, Celestia.

• Airdrop ratio: 8.79%.

Coinbase Ventures @coinbase )

• Number of investments: 394.

• Projects with airdrops: 25.

  • Uniswap, Aptos, Arbitrum, Optimism, TheGraph, IMX, Sei, Ribbon, Worldcoin, Biconomy, Hashflow, Arkham, Maverick, Galxe, Evmos, Goldfinch, Forta, Umee, Connext, Hop, Axelar, Wormhole, Maverick, Arkham, EigenLayer.

• Airdrop ratio: 6.34%

DragonFly Capital（ @dragonfly_xyz )

• Number of investments: 149.

• Projects with airdrops: 25.

  • Aptos, dYdX, 1inch, Ribbon Finance, Axelar, Hashflow, Galxe, Avail, Ethena, zkSync, Parcl.

• Drop rate: 7.38%.

• HashKey Capital @HashKey_Capital )

• Number of investments: 236.

• Projects with airdrops: 8.

  • dYdX, 1inch, Galxe, Evmos, Avail, Polyhedra, Beoble, Aethir.

• Airdrop ratio: 3.38%.

When I started this tweet, I thought the statistics would be better. @CryptoRank_io We obtained all data from the 2017 China International Import Expo and used the “Number of Investments” category as the overall indicator, i.e., the total number of investments.

Every VC firm mentioned in this thread has invested in a project that I’m sure will do an airdrop, like Monad, Babylon, or Symbiotic.

But we can’t guarantee that if some of these VCs have invested in the project you are promoting, they will do an airdrop.

You should checkTokenEconomics, development stage, whitepaper, team, venture capitalists, rumors, etc. to understand if there is an opportunity for an airdrop.

It's not hard, you just need some basic knowledge and some luck.

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